Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mirandes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alcorcon are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 0 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mirandes hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00