Miramarvs
Uruguay Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Segunda División · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Miramar 0-0 Uruguay Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Miramar 1-0 Uruguay Montevideo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.2% | 35.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.7% | 31.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 32.1% | 33.2% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Projected Score
Miramar 0–0 Uruguay Montevideo
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MiramarWLDDL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Uruguay MontevideoDLDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MiramarUruguay Montevideo
31.9Attack34.7
56.9Defence58.3
33.3Form36.1
42.9Power45.2
0.85xG0.82