Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fenix · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Miramar are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fenix are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fenix hold a 14.9-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Segunda División, while Fenix holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fenix
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Fenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00