Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Colón · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Miramar 0-0 Colón, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Miramar 0-1 Colón
Original prediction
Colón
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.15 | 28.8% | 26.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.1% | 31.3% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.1% | 42.0% | 0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Miramar 0–0 Colón
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Colón
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Colón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MiramarDDLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
ColónDWDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MiramarColón
30.3Attack39.4
56.1Defence65.2
31.8Form51.5
41.7Power54.0
0.65xG0.99