Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cerrito · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Miramar 0-0 Cerrito, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Miramar 1-0 Cerrito
Original prediction
Cerrito
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 22:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.9% | 29.9% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 30.0% | 29.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.2% | 40.3% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Projected Score
Miramar 0–0 Cerrito
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Cerrito
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Cerrito has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MiramarLDWWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CerritoWDWLW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MiramarCerrito
32.1Attack44.0
59.5Defence60.7
36.9Form48.8
45.1Power53.1
0.79xG1.00