Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atenas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Miramar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atenas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atenas hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Segunda División, while Atenas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atenas
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
14.9%
Atenas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60