Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lida · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Minsk II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Lida are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lida hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.4% in the 1. Division, while Lida holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lida
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
9.4%
Lida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40