1. Division1. Division
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Minsk II

Minsk II

Home
WL
03
Full time
Gomel II

Gomel II

Away
DW
Stadium FC Minsk
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Minsk II(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Gomel II
Win probability
Minsk II
44%
Draw
23%
Gomel II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Minsk II
54
Gomel II
73
Defence
Minsk II
14
Gomel II
82
Momentum
Minsk II
50
Gomel II
67
Danger (xG)
Minsk II
1.35
Gomel II
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Minsk II)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (Gomel II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Minsk II)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Gomel II)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Minsk IIMinsk II
WLWLW
Gomel IIGomel II
DWLD

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Minsk II44%
Draw23%
Gomel II33%

Minsk II leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Minsk II head into this in 1. Division fixture at Stadium FC Minsk in mixed form (WL), while Gomel II arrive in mixed form (DW). Minsk II have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Gomel II over 2 games.

Tactically, Gomel II hold the edge. Their strong attack (73/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Minsk II defence (14/100), while Minsk II's attack faces a watertight Gomel II backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Minsk II have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Gomel II have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Gomel II have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Minsk II to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Minsk II 4370%, Draw 2330%, Gomel II 3300%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Minsk II 0Draws 01 Gomel II
Avg goals: 3.0
3 Jul 2026
Minsk II
L03
Gomel II

Recent form

Minsk II

Minsk II

W
@ Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
11 Jul 2026
32
L
vs Gomel II
3 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Orsha
28 Jun 2026
40
L
vs Volna
19 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Lida
16 May 2026
21
Gomel II

Gomel II

D
vs Bumprom
12 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Minsk II
3 Jul 2026
30
L
vs FC Slutsk
31 May 2026
13
D
vs Ostrovets FC
15 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Minsk II vs Gomel II?

GoalVio's model predicts Minsk II to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Minsk II vs Gomel II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Minsk II vs Gomel II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minsk II vs Gomel II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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