GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Minnesota United II 5-1 Vancouver Whitecaps II

Original prediction

Minnesota United II

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4761.1%52.5%-8.7 pts
Draw4.3620.7%23.5%2.9 pts
Away4.9518.2%24.0%5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-8.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–110%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–08%

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United II

Probability

52.5%

Model confidence

52.5%

Minnesota United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United IIWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Vancouver Whitecaps IIDWWLL

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United IIVancouver Whitecaps II
46.7Attack48.7
52.0Defence29.5
46.7Form29.5
50.0Power37.6
2.25xG1.26
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