MLS Next ProMLS Next Pro
Monday, 29 June 2026Last updated 10:14
Minnesota United II

Minnesota United II

Home
WDL
22
Full time
Tacoma Defiance

Tacoma Defiance

Away
DW
Allianz Field
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Minnesota United II(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Minnesota United II
44%
Draw
24%
Tacoma Defiance
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Minnesota United II
73
Tacoma Defiance
54
Defence
Minnesota United II
27
Tacoma Defiance
66
Momentum
Minnesota United II
44
Tacoma Defiance
67
Danger (xG)
Minnesota United II
1.80
Tacoma Defiance
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Minnesota United II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Tacoma Defiance)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Minnesota United II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Tacoma Defiance)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II
DLWDL
Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance
DWL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Minnesota United II44%
Draw24%
Tacoma Defiance33%

Minnesota United II leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Minnesota United II head into this in MLS Next Pro fixture at Allianz Field in mixed form (WDL), while Tacoma Defiance arrive in mixed form (DW). Minnesota United II have a 33% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Tacoma Defiance over 2 games.

The model rates Minnesota United II's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Tacoma Defiance defence, and Tacoma Defiance's attack at 54/100 against a 27/100 Minnesota United II backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Minnesota United II have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Tacoma Defiance have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Minnesota United II to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Minnesota United II 4400%, Draw 2350%, Tacoma Defiance 3250%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Minnesota United II 0Draws 10 Tacoma Defiance
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
29 Jun 2026
Minnesota United II
D22
Tacoma Defiance

Recent form

Minnesota United II

Minnesota United II

D
vs Tacoma Defiance
29 Jun 2026
22
L
@ Los Angeles FC II
25 Jun 2026
01
W
vs Sporting KC II
9 Jun 2026
43
D
vs Houston Dynamo FC II
17 May 2026
11
L
@ Portland Timbers II
14 May 2026
12
Tacoma Defiance

Tacoma Defiance

D
@ Minnesota United II
29 Jun 2026
22
W
vs Real Monarchs
22 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Austin II
11 May 2026
03

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

GoalVio's model predicts Minnesota United II to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United II vs Tacoma Defiance?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more