Minnesota United IIvs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 5/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while St. Louis City II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City II
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
12.3%
St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20