GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and san Jose Earthquakes II hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the MLS Next Pro, favouring a draw with 11.0% confidence, a 62% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.1%

Model confidence

11.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United IILLWLD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIDLLLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Minnesota United IISan Jose Earthquakes II
45.5Attack65.0
47.0Defence58.3
42.4Form48.3
46.8Power56.0
1.22xG1.98
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