Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

Home
LLD
00
Full time
Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

Away
D
Allianz Field
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
Minnesota United FC(41%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Minnesota United FC
41%
Draw
24%
Vancouver Whitecaps
35%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Minnesota United FC
34
Vancouver Whitecaps
34
Defence
Minnesota United FC
39
Vancouver Whitecaps
66
Momentum
Minnesota United FC
11
Vancouver Whitecaps
33
Danger (xG)
Minnesota United FC
0.90
Vancouver Whitecaps
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Minnesota United FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Vancouver Whitecaps)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Minnesota United FC)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Vancouver Whitecaps)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
LLD
Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps
DLW

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
Minnesota United FC41%
Draw24%
Vancouver Whitecaps35%

Minnesota United FC leads with 41% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Minnesota United FC head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Allianz Field in mixed form (LLD), while Vancouver Whitecaps arrive in mixed form (D). Minnesota United FC have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Vancouver Whitecaps over 1 games.

The model rates Minnesota United FC's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 Vancouver Whitecaps defence, and Vancouver Whitecaps's attack at 34/100 against a 39/100 Minnesota United FC backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Minnesota United FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Vancouver Whitecaps have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Minnesota United FC and Vancouver Whitecaps in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Minnesota United FC to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Minnesota United FC 4101%, Draw 2405%, Vancouver Whitecaps 3494%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

L
@ New England Revolution
17 May 2026
12
L
vs Colorado Rapids
14 May 2026
01
D
vs Austin
11 May 2026
22
Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

D
@ Cavalry FC
14 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Houston Dynamo
17 May 2026
01
W
@ FC Dallas
14 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

GoalVio's model predicts Minnesota United FC to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more