GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Major League Soccer, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

37.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCLLWDL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle SoundersWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Minnesota United FCSeattle Sounders
36.8Attack39.2
54.4Defence56.9
43.9Form47.1
47.1Power49.6
1.02xG1.00
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