Minnesota United FCvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 9/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minnesota United FC 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy
Original prediction
Minnesota United FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.64 | 57.1% | 50.0% | -7.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.35 | 21.6% | 22.3% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.40 | 21.3% | 27.7% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United FC
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 15 · avg 3.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00