FriendliesFriendlies
Sunday, 26 July 202623:00Updated today
Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

Home
LLD
vs
23:00
Liberia

Liberia

Away
W
Allianz Field
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Liberia33%
Minnesota United FC33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Minnesota United FC
33%
Draw
33%
Liberia
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Minnesota United FC
34
Liberia
94
Defence
Minnesota United FC
39
Liberia
66
Momentum
Minnesota United FC
11
Liberia
100
Danger (xG)
Minnesota United FC
0.90
Liberia
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Minnesota United FC)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Liberia)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Minnesota United FC)
1.50
avg per match
xG against (Liberia)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC
LLD
LiberiaLiberia
W

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Minnesota United FC33%
Draw33%
Liberia33%

Liberia leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Minnesota United FC head into this in Friendlies fixture at Allianz Field in mixed form (LLD), while Liberia arrive in mixed form (W). Minnesota United FC have a 0% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for Liberia over 1 games.

Tactically, Liberia hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a leaky Minnesota United FC defence (39/100), while Minnesota United FC's attack faces a solid Liberia backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Minnesota United FC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 2 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per home match. Liberia have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Minnesota United FC and Liberia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Minnesota United FC 3333%, Draw 3333%, Liberia 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC

L
@ New England Revolution
17 May 2026
12
L
vs Colorado Rapids
14 May 2026
01
D
vs Austin
11 May 2026
22
Liberia

Liberia

W
vs Sierra Leone
9 Jun 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Liberia?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Minnesota United FC vs Liberia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC vs Liberia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minnesota United FC vs Liberia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more