Minnesota United FCvs
Houston Dynamo
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minnesota United FC 2-2 Houston Dynamo
Original prediction
Minnesota United FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 45.0% | 35.9% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 27.0% | 29.0% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.37 | 28.0% | 35.0% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Minnesota United FC
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 17 · avg 2.00/3.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20