Minnesota United FCvs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/28/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Minnesota United FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.0% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Cincinnati
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
8.0%
FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00