Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Minija are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nevėžis are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 26.4-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
66.4%
Model confidence
66.4%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67