Minijavs
Neptūną Klaipėda
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (12%), 3-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minija 2-1 Neptūną Klaipėda
Original prediction
Minija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 67.1% | 73.4% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.2% | 17.1% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 7.05 | 12.7% | 9.6% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.3–011%
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
73.4%
Model confidence
73.4%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MinijaWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Neptūną KlaipėdaWLWLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MinijaNeptūną Klaipėda
88.4Attack44.4
82.6Defence61.1
88.4Form61.1
84.6Power57.3
2.25xG0.63