Minijavs
Kauno Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Minija 3-0 Kauno Žalgiris II, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Minija 5-0 Kauno Žalgiris II
Original prediction
Minija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.11 | 80.4% | 83.1% | 2.7 pts |
| Draw | 6.85 | 13.1% | 11.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 13.83 | 6.5% | 5.8% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.7 pts
Projected Score
Minija 3–0 Kauno Žalgiris II
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
83.1%
Model confidence
83.1%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MinijaWWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Kauno Žalgiris IIWWLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MinijaKauno Žalgiris II
87.5Attack31.9
81.9Defence47.2
88.9Form30.6
84.5Power38.7
3.23xG0.43