Minijavs
Kauno Žalgiris
COMPLETEDLithuania · Cup · 10/11/2026, 11:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kauno Žalgiris · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minija 0-3 Kauno Žalgiris
Original prediction
Kauno Žalgiris
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.86 | 15.3% | 35.0% | 19.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.48 | 20.1% | 22.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.39 | 64.6% | 42.9% | -21.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
Kauno Žalgiris
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Kauno Žalgiris has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80