1 Lyga1 Lyga
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Minija

Minija

Home
W
21
Full time
Jonava

Jonava

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
45% confidence
Minija(44%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Minija
44%
Draw
35%
Jonava
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Minija
73
Jonava
34
Defence
Minija
66
Jonava
27
Momentum
Minija
100
Jonava
0
Danger (xG)
Minija
1.80
Jonava
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Minija)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Jonava)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Minija)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Jonava)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
MinijaMinija
WW
JonavaJonava
LL

Probability breakdown

45% confidence
Minija44%
Draw35%
Jonava21%

Minija leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Minija head into this in 1 Lyga fixture in mixed form (W), while Jonava arrive in mixed form (L). Minija have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Jonava over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Minija's strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Jonava defence (27/100), while Jonava's attack is up against a solid Minija backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Minija's favour.

Minija have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Jonava have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Minija and Jonava in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Minija to win with 45% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Minija 4352%, Draw 3500%, Jonava 2148%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Minija

Minija

W
vs Panevėžys
23 Jun 2026
21
W
@ Neptūną Klaipėda
16 May 2026
31
Jonava

Jonava

L
@ Hegelmann II
27 Jun 2026
12
L
@ Tauras
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Minija vs Jonava?

GoalVio's model predicts Minija to win with 45% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Minija vs Jonava?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Minija vs Jonava?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Minija vs Jonava?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more