Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minija 3-2 Dainava
Original prediction
Minija
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 58.5% | 44.6% | -13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.5% | 24.8% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.0% | 30.6% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MinijaWWWWL
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
DainavaLDDWD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MinijaDainava
0.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power23.7
2.26xG2.00