Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Minija are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 5.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dainava are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.1% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
58.1%
Model confidence
58.1%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 28 · GA 4 · avg 5.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20