Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minija 2-3 Babrungas
Original prediction
Minija
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.7% | 54.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.3% | 24.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.76 | 18.9% | 20.8% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MinijaLWWWW
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
BabrungasWWWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MinijaBabrungas
90.7Attack57.7
82.7Defence85.9
89.3Form82.1
85.5Power76.1
1.52xG0.86