Mingəçevirvs
Zaqatala
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 9/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mingəçevir · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mingəçevir 0-0 Zaqatala, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mingəçevir 2-2 Zaqatala
Original prediction
Mingəçevir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 70.3% | 39.5% | -30.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.80 | 18.8% | 28.3% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 8.27 | 10.9% | 32.2% | 21.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-30.9 pts
Projected Score
Mingəçevir 0–0 Zaqatala
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Mingəçevir
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Mingəçevir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MingəçevirLWWLW
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ZaqatalaWLLLL
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MingəçevirZaqatala
24.7Attack34.6
51.9Defence54.3
33.3Form34.6
39.3Power43.1
0.75xG0.92