GGOALVIO

Azerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/5/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mil-Muğan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Mingəçevir are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mil-Muğan are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mil-Muğan hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Birinci Dasta, while Mil-Muğan holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mil-Muğan

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Mil-Muğan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MingəçevirWLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Mil-MuğanLLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
MingəçevirMil-Muğan
24.7Attack46.9
51.9Defence74.1
33.3Form58.0
39.3Power60.3
0.42xG1.32
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