Mingəçevirvs
Mil-Muğan
COMPLETEDAzerbaijan · Birinci Dasta · 10/5/2023, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mil-Muğan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Mingəçevir are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Mil-Muğan are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mil-Muğan hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Birinci Dasta, while Mil-Muğan holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mil-Muğan
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Mil-Muğan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33