Minerva Punjabvs
Odisha
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/14/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minerva Punjab · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minerva Punjab 2-1 Odisha
Original prediction
Minerva Punjab
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.6% | 42.3% | -12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 27.9% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.2% | 29.8% | 9.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Minerva Punjab
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Minerva Punjab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00