Minerva Punjabvs
Mumbai City
COMPLETEDIndia · Indian Super League · 10/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minerva Punjab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minerva Punjab 1-1 Mumbai City
Original prediction
Minerva Punjab
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.1% | 44.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.6% | 27.1% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.3% | 27.9% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Minerva Punjab
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Minerva Punjab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20