Minerul Lupenivs
Uta Arad
COMPLETEDRomania · Cupa României · 9/2/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Uta Arad · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Minerul Lupeni 0-3 Uta Arad
Original prediction
Uta Arad
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.25 | 21.3% | 36.3% | 15.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 26.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.6% | 37.3% | -17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Uta Arad
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Uta Arad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80