GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/28/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Venados FCWLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasVenados FC
100.0Attack66.7
41.7Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
68.8Power53.2
2.36xG1.58
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