GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/5/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasVenados FC
100.0Attack66.7
41.7Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
68.8Power53.2
2.36xG1.58
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