GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/5/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWWL), averaging 3.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 50.4-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.8% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

66.8%

Model confidence

66.8%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasDWWL

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 3.50/2.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 4/4
TlaxcalaLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Mineros de ZacatecasTlaxcala
100.0Attack33.3
41.7Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
68.8Power18.3
2.73xG1.13
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