GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/20/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 55.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

71.4%

Model confidence

71.4%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWLDWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasTepatitlán
100.0Attack8.3
41.7Defence16.7
66.7Form0.0
68.8Power13.0
2.90xG1.02
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