GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tapatío are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWWLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TapatíoWLLDW

GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
100.0Attack50.0
41.7Defence58.3
66.7Form58.3
68.8Power58.8
1.92xG1.41
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