GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/19/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tapatío are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

46.0%

Model confidence

46.0%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWLWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TapatíoLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
100.0Attack50.0
41.7Defence58.3
66.7Form58.3
68.8Power58.8
1.92xG1.41
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