GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/6/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Monarcas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 68.8 against 69.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

40.3%

Model confidence

40.3%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MonarcasWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcas
100.0Attack88.9
41.7Defence55.6
66.7Form66.7
68.8Power69.4
1.93xG1.73
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