GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/12/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasDLDLD

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Leones Negros UDGWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
100.0Attack77.8
41.7Defence44.4
66.7Form66.7
68.8Power63.5
2.09xG1.67
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