GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/26/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWWDWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Leones Negros UDGWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDG
100.0Attack77.8
41.7Defence44.4
66.7Form66.7
68.8Power63.5
2.09xG1.67
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