GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/8/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Irapuato are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWLWDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IrapuatoWDLDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasIrapuato
100.0Attack52.9
41.7Defence52.9
66.7Form47.1
68.8Power51.0
1.99xG1.47
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