GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Correcaminos UatLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos Uat
100.0Attack91.7
41.7Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
68.8Power62.0
2.31xG1.78
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