GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/12/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatLWWWL

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCorrecaminos Uat
100.0Attack91.7
41.7Defence33.3
66.7Form58.3
68.8Power62.0
2.31xG1.78
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