GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/25/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Cimarrones are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWWLWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CimarronesLWWLD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCimarrones
100.0Attack53.8
41.7Defence50.5
66.7Form46.2
68.8Power51.4
2.09xG1.49
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