GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/2/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Celaya are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWWDDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CelayaWWWDD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCelaya
100.0Attack44.4
41.7Defence62.2
66.7Form46.7
68.8Power52.8
1.59xG1.24
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