GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/4/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Celaya are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasWLDWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CelayaDWLDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCelaya
100.0Attack44.4
41.7Defence62.2
66.7Form46.7
68.8Power52.8
1.59xG1.24
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