GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CA La PazWDLWD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCA La Paz
100.0Attack75.0
41.7Defence58.3
66.7Form50.0
68.8Power57.9
1.93xG1.68
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