GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/19/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CA La PazLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCA La Paz
100.0Attack75.0
41.7Defence58.3
66.7Form50.0
68.8Power57.9
1.93xG1.68
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