GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/8/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while CA La Paz are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CA La PazDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasCA La Paz
100.0Attack75.0
41.7Defence58.3
66.7Form50.0
68.8Power57.9
1.93xG1.68
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