GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/14/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasLWLDW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasAtlante FC
100.0Attack48.4
41.7Defence78.6
66.7Form63.5
68.8Power63.9
1.11xG1.40
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